Reconstruct Breakdown
The Reconstruct Breakdown model is used when the total production of a zone is available in real-time, but its breakdown is unknown or insufficient.
Some types of production modes are highly variable. For example, variable renewables vary due to weather: wind production depends on wind speed, and solar production depends on the amount of sunlight available. We construct a model for each of these production modes, that we trained on historical data. Once these production values have been estimated, the rest of the production is estimated by applying a static breakdown over the remaining production (total - variable renewables).
The diagram below details the inner workings of the Reconstruct Breakdown model.
Figure 1: Schematic view of the Reconstruct Breakdown
The data required to run the model encompasses both real-time:
- total production
- weather features
And historical aggregates:
- historical production mix