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Overview

Traffic jams in the city, as a result, many people in the city are choosing public transportation instead of their private cars. Therefore, scooters are used in response to their origin(first mile) and destination(last mile). This project aims to bring scooter user data to benefit the business.

Team

Problem formation

  • predict the next 24-hour of scooter pick-ups.
  • predict trip destinations

Predict the next 24-hour of scooter pick-ups.

Model Structure

  • model 1 image

  • model 2 image

  • model 3 image

Evaluate model

evaluate predictive models with time-based sliding window

  • Overestimate = ( (actual of non-zero pick-up) - predict ) >= 0

  • Underestimate = ( (actual of non-zero pick-up) - predict ) <= 0

  • Zero accuracy = ( (predict zero pick-up) / (actual of zero pick-up) )*100

    image


Predict trip destinations

Model Structure

image

Evaluate model

evaluate predictive models with 10-fold cross-validation

  • Average Distance Days of the week

image

  • Average Distance hours of the Day

image

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