[CI] RetryableActionTests testRetryableActionTimeout failing

[cbuescher]

Build scan:
https://gradle-enterprise.elastic.co/s/bnq7vzq6jsmda/tests/:server:test/org.elasticsearch.action.support.RetryableActionTests/testRetryableActionTimeout

Reproduction line:
gradlew ':server:test' --tests "org.elasticsearch.action.support.RetryableActionTests.testRetryableActionTimeout" -Dtests.seed=30262AAAB4F0DFBB -Dtests.locale=he-IL -Dtests.timezone=Etc/UCT -Druntime.java=11

Applicable branches:
master

Reproduces locally?:
Yes

Failure history:
https://gradle-enterprise.elastic.co/scans/tests?tests.container=org.elasticsearch.action.support.RetryableActionTests&tests.test=testRetryableActionTimeout

Failure excerpt:

java.lang.AssertionError: 
Expected: a value less than or equal to <3000L>
     but: <3761L> was greater than <3000L>

  at __randomizedtesting.SeedInfo.seed([30262AAAB4F0DFBB:6871BFE7697906F5]:0)
  at org.hamcrest.MatcherAssert.assertThat(MatcherAssert.java:18)
  at org.junit.Assert.assertThat(Assert.java:956)
  at org.junit.Assert.assertThat(Assert.java:923)
  at org.elasticsearch.action.support.RetryableActionTests.testRetryableActionTimeout(RetryableActionTests.java:140)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke0(NativeMethodAccessorImpl.java:-2)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.NativeMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(NativeMethodAccessorImpl.java:62)
  at jdk.internal.reflect.DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.invoke(DelegatingMethodAccessorImpl.java:43)
  at java.lang.reflect.Method.invoke(Method.java:566)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner.invoke(RandomizedRunner.java:1758)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$8.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:946)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$9.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:982)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$10.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:996)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleSetupTeardownChained$1.evaluate(TestRuleSetupTeardownChained.java:49)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.AbstractBeforeAfterRule$1.evaluate(AbstractBeforeAfterRule.java:45)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleThreadAndTestName$1.evaluate(TestRuleThreadAndTestName.java:48)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures.java:64)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleMarkFailure$1.evaluate(TestRuleMarkFailure.java:47)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$StatementRunner.run(ThreadLeakControl.java:375)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl.forkTimeoutingTask(ThreadLeakControl.java:824)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$3.evaluate(ThreadLeakControl.java:475)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner.runSingleTest(RandomizedRunner.java:955)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$5.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:840)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$6.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:891)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.RandomizedRunner$7.evaluate(RandomizedRunner.java:902)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.AbstractBeforeAfterRule$1.evaluate(AbstractBeforeAfterRule.java:45)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleStoreClassName$1.evaluate(TestRuleStoreClassName.java:41)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule$1.evaluate(NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule.java:40)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule$1.evaluate(NoShadowingOrOverridesOnMethodsRule.java:40)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleAssertionsRequired$1.evaluate(TestRuleAssertionsRequired.java:53)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleMarkFailure$1.evaluate(TestRuleMarkFailure.java:47)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreAfterMaxFailures.java:64)
  at org.apache.lucene.util.TestRuleIgnoreTestSuites$1.evaluate(TestRuleIgnoreTestSuites.java:54)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.rules.StatementAdapter.evaluate(StatementAdapter.java:36)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl$StatementRunner.run(ThreadLeakControl.java:375)
  at com.carrotsearch.randomizedtesting.ThreadLeakControl.lambda$forkTimeoutingTask$0(ThreadLeakControl.java:831)
  at java.lang.Thread.run(Thread.java:834)

[elasticmachine]

Pinging @elastic/es-core-infra (Team:Core/Infra)

[pugnascotia]

I've muted the test on master, 7.x and 7.14.

[stu-elastic]

Stepping through this during core/infra fix it meeting, it seems related to #74940.

In RetryableActionTests.testRetryableActionTimeout, the random time is 1498.

It is retried twice, on RetryableAction.onFailure, the important values are:

// delayMillisBound = 1498
final long nextDelayMillisBound = calculateDelayBound(delayMillisBound);  // 2996
int range = Math.toIntExact((delayMillisBound + 1) / 2);   //  749
// Randomness.get().nextInt(range) = 121
//  121 + 1498 - 749 + 1 = 871
final long delayMillis = Randomness.get().nextInt(range) + delayMillisBound - range + 1L;  // 871

// delayMillisBound = 2996
final long nextDelayMillisBound = calculateDelayBound(delayMillisBound);  // 5992
int range = Math.toIntExact((delayMillisBound + 1) / 2);  // 1498
// Randomness.get().nextInt(range) = 1391
 // 1391 + 2996 - 1498 + 1 = 2890
final long delayMillis = Randomness.get().nextInt(range) + delayMillisBound - range + 1L;  // 2890

So the two delays calculated are: 2890 and 871 which adds up to the 3761 of the failure.