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Potential BA.1*/BA.2 Recombinant with Likely Breakpoint at NSP3 (104 Seqs in UK-England as of 2022-03-29) #480

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c19850727 opened this issue Mar 23, 2022 · 5 comments
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@c19850727
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c19850727 commented Mar 23, 2022

Description

Recombinant between: BA.1* & BA.2
Earliest sequence: 2022/2/1 (UK-England)
Most recent sequence: 2022/3/15 (UK-England)
Countries circulating: UK
Likely breakpoint: between 2834 and 4183 at NSP3.
Conserved Nuc mutations (those in red frames are likely from the donor from the BA.1* side):
image
Cov-spectrum query: A2832G, G4184A, G10986A, A29510C
GISAID query: NSP3_K38R, N_S413R, NSP6_R5K, NSP3_G489S

Evidence

Usher tree:
image
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome-euro.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_euro_2e4_a6dbc0.json?c=gt-nuc_10986&label=nuc%20mutations:T2790C,A2832G

Genomes:

EPI_ISL_10425128, EPI_ISL_10711914, EPI_ISL_10796581, EPI_ISL_10844807, EPI_ISL_10849068, EPI_ISL_10927897, EPI_ISL_10928229, EPI_ISL_10928246, EPI_ISL_10931524, EPI_ISL_10961880, EPI_ISL_10962049, EPI_ISL_10972194, EPI_ISL_10987456, EPI_ISL_11035378, EPI_ISL_11040174, EPI_ISL_11040438, EPI_ISL_11040610, EPI_ISL_11076788, EPI_ISL_11076794, EPI_ISL_11077708, EPI_ISL_11080588, EPI_ISL_11086364, EPI_ISL_11120816, EPI_ISL_11123238, EPI_ISL_11123989, EPI_ISL_11128269, EPI_ISL_11151707, EPI_ISL_11152717, EPI_ISL_11153474, EPI_ISL_11153656, EPI_ISL_11153885, EPI_ISL_11180762, EPI_ISL_11181543, EPI_ISL_11186438, EPI_ISL_11186697, EPI_ISL_11187359, EPI_ISL_11195255, EPI_ISL_11195470, EPI_ISL_11198749, EPI_ISL_11212985, EPI_ISL_11214847, EPI_ISL_11215368, EPI_ISL_11215525, EPI_ISL_11215580, EPI_ISL_11215782, EPI_ISL_11216131, EPI_ISL_11216651, EPI_ISL_11216766, EPI_ISL_11216776, EPI_ISL_11274926, EPI_ISL_11276773, EPI_ISL_11280408, EPI_ISL_11283569, EPI_ISL_11283932

@c19850727 c19850727 changed the title Potential BA.1*/BA.2 Recombinant with Likely Breakpoint at NSP3 (52 Seqs in UK-England as of 2022-03-22) Potential BA.1*/BA.2 Recombinant with Likely Breakpoint at NSP3 (83 Seqs in UK-England as of 2022-03-27) Mar 27, 2022
@c19850727
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83 sequences as of 2022-03-27.

@c19850727
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c19850727 commented Mar 29, 2022

There are 104 sequences as of 2022-03-29, of which one is detected in Canada-Ontario.

image
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome-euro.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_euro_788f_2c26c0.json?branchLabel=aa%20mutations&c=gt-nuc_10986&label=nuc%20mutations:G4184A

And according to Cov-spectrum, there's a growth advantage over BA.2 in UK since 2022-02-01.
image

It makes me wonder if BA.1-BA.2 recombinants like this one (and also XE, which has a similar breakpoint) might really have some fitness advantage over both BA.1 and BA.2.

@c19850727 c19850727 changed the title Potential BA.1*/BA.2 Recombinant with Likely Breakpoint at NSP3 (83 Seqs in UK-England as of 2022-03-27) Potential BA.1*/BA.2 Recombinant with Likely Breakpoint at NSP3 (104 Seqs in UK-England as of 2022-03-29) Mar 29, 2022
@FedeGueli
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Hi @c19850727 wondering if that orf7a:34S could give some advantage as we have seen for orf7a:P45L in AY.122.
If more sequences will be accumulated we will see that more clearly.

@FedeGueli
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I checked the orf7a:34S sublineage of this recombinant:
in England seems to have a clear advantage over BA.2.
CovSpectrum Comparison vs BA.2
chrome_screenshot_1648744132296

@c19850727

@chrisruis
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Thanks @c19850727 We've added this as XN in v1.2.140

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