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Investigate methods of using headway as an input to the prediction of dwell times. #74

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scrudden opened this issue Jul 10, 2018 · 5 comments
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@scrudden scrudden self-assigned this Jul 10, 2018
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Working on this on branch tc_issue_72.

Trying Recursive least-squares (RLS) from smile (http://haifengl.github.io/smile) to prediction dwell times. The input to this is (headway,dwell time).

@scrudden scrudden mentioned this issue Jul 14, 2018
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Running test against route 66 MBTA, which is one of their higher frequency routes.

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Based on guidance from @simonberrebi I am trying (headway, log10(dwell time)) as the input to RLS.

@scrudden scrudden added the wip label Aug 26, 2018
@scrudden scrudden mentioned this issue Aug 27, 2018
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scrudden commented Sep 7, 2018

This shows that there is no bias in this prediction method and the spread of prediction error grows consistently with horizon and is well contained. Based on this I am going to merge the related pull request.

This change will not effect the default prediction method.

I had this run for a number of weeks against MBTA route 66.

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scrudden commented Sep 7, 2018

Merged.

@scrudden scrudden closed this as completed Sep 7, 2018
sheldonabrown pushed a commit to sheldonabrown/core that referenced this issue Sep 30, 2022
…otstrap_implementation

Updated Trip RunTimes Report with the new design utilizing Bootstrap_380
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