This is a joint project from The ONE Campaign and SEEK's Donor Tracker.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has sparked the biggest war in Europe since WWII. It has cost thousands of lives, caused millions of people to flee Ukraine, and has set off a global food crisis.
The OECD reports that in-donor refugee costs alone amounted to $29bn in 2022. Our estimates predict a further $32bn in 2023. Other humanitarian and financial support committed to Ukraine will further drive up totals. The world will not be able to meet the extraordinary needs from these compounding crises without increasing aid budgets significantly.
We estimate average in-donor refugee costs per refugee per year by dividing the total ODA eligible in-donor refugee costs reported by a donor country by the reported number of asylum applications over the last four years for which both refugee and in-donor refugee cost data is available (2018-2021). The 2018-2021 timeframe is chosen to reflect recent reporting practises, after the clarifications on reporting guidelines by the DAC Temporary Working Group on Refugees and Migration.
To estimate 2023 in-donor refugee costs for Ukrainian refugees, we multiply our estimated average in-donor refugee cost
for each specific donor by the number of Ukrainian refugees reported to be in that country. We track net arrivals each month to account
for the varying arrival dates of refugees, such that the 12-months of ODA-eligible costs is more reflective of the costs for 2023.
For European countries, data on individual refugees from Ukraine recorded comes from
UNHCR’s Operational Data Portal for Ukrainian Refugees.
For countries without data via UNHCR, we use the reported number of refugees within a country from official government
websites or statements.
For a more detailed methodology, please see here.
Sourced from the OECD DAC1 table.
We deflate these figures into constant 2022 prices for comparability across the four years.
Sourced from the UNHCR Refugee Statistics Data Portal. We include applications to all authority types and across all stages of application.
We include all asylum application types because donors can report in-donor refugee costs up to 12-months as ODA, so only including new applications would risk excluding asylum seekers receiving ODA-eligible funding. We include both Persons and Cases, with Cases reported only when the level of disaggregation for person by person is not available.
Australia did not report in-donor refugee costs to the OECD over the four-year timeframe. Japan is missing asylum application data for 2021, reducing the used time period to 2018-2020. Luxembourg uses a two-year average (2019-2020) due to missing in-donor refugee costs data.
This repository contains data and scripts to reproduce the analysis and create the csv file powering the flourish visualization for the tracker.
Python (>=3.10) is required and additional packages required are listed under requirements.txt.
The scripts directory contains the following:
config.py: manages working directory and file paths.create_table.py: creates a csv file for the tracking table (a Flourish visualization).idrc_per_capita.py: to reproduce the in-donor refugee costs per capita figure for each donor.oda_data.py: to read, clean and transform the data required to produce the different visualisations.unhcr_data.py: to scrape the refugee data from UNHCR.
The raw_data folder contains data extracted from the OECD DAC databases.
The output folder contains the csv files used to create different Flourish visualisations
The ODA tracker can be found at ONE's website: https://www.one.org/international/aid-data/oda-to-ukraine/
And at SEEK's Donor Tracker website: https://donortracker.org/Ukraine-ODA-tracker