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experiment.rb
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experiment.rb
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# frozen_string_literal: true
module Split
class Experiment
attr_accessor :name
attr_accessor :goals
attr_accessor :alternative_probabilities
attr_accessor :metadata
attr_reader :alternatives
attr_reader :resettable
DEFAULT_OPTIONS = {
resettable: true
}
def self.find(name)
Split.cache(:experiments, name) do
return unless Split.redis.exists?(name)
Experiment.new(name).tap { |exp| exp.load_from_redis }
end
end
def initialize(name, options = {})
options = DEFAULT_OPTIONS.merge(options)
@name = name.to_s
extract_alternatives_from_options(options)
end
def self.finished_key(key)
"#{key}:finished"
end
def set_alternatives_and_options(options)
options_with_defaults = DEFAULT_OPTIONS.merge(
options.reject { |k, v| v.nil? }
)
self.alternatives = options_with_defaults[:alternatives]
self.goals = options_with_defaults[:goals]
self.resettable = options_with_defaults[:resettable]
self.algorithm = options_with_defaults[:algorithm]
self.metadata = options_with_defaults[:metadata]
end
def extract_alternatives_from_options(options)
alts = options[:alternatives] || []
if alts.length == 1
if alts[0].is_a? Hash
alts = alts[0].map { |k, v| { k => v } }
end
end
if alts.empty?
exp_config = Split.configuration.experiment_for(name)
if exp_config
alts = load_alternatives_from_configuration
options[:goals] = Split::GoalsCollection.new(@name).load_from_configuration
options[:metadata] = load_metadata_from_configuration
options[:resettable] = exp_config[:resettable]
options[:algorithm] = exp_config[:algorithm]
end
end
options[:alternatives] = alts
set_alternatives_and_options(options)
# calculate probability that each alternative is the winner
@alternative_probabilities = {}
alts
end
def save
validate!
if new_record?
start unless Split.configuration.start_manually
persist_experiment_configuration
elsif experiment_configuration_has_changed?
reset unless Split.configuration.reset_manually
persist_experiment_configuration
end
redis.hmset(experiment_config_key, :resettable, resettable.to_s,
:algorithm, algorithm.to_s)
self
end
def validate!
if @alternatives.empty? && Split.configuration.experiment_for(@name).nil?
raise ExperimentNotFound.new("Experiment #{@name} not found")
end
@alternatives.each { |a| a.validate! }
goals_collection.validate!
end
def new_record?
ExperimentCatalog.find(name).nil?
end
def ==(obj)
self.name == obj.name
end
def [](name)
alternatives.find { |a| a.name == name }
end
def algorithm
@algorithm ||= Split.configuration.algorithm
end
def algorithm=(algorithm)
@algorithm = algorithm.is_a?(String) ? algorithm.constantize : algorithm
end
def resettable=(resettable)
@resettable = resettable.is_a?(String) ? resettable == "true" : resettable
end
def alternatives=(alts)
@alternatives = alts.map do |alternative|
if alternative.kind_of?(Split::Alternative)
alternative
else
Split::Alternative.new(alternative, @name)
end
end
end
def winner
Split.cache(:experiment_winner, name) do
experiment_winner = redis.hget(:experiment_winner, name)
if experiment_winner
Split::Alternative.new(experiment_winner, name)
else
nil
end
end
end
def has_winner?
return @has_winner if defined? @has_winner
@has_winner = !winner.nil?
end
def winner=(winner_name)
redis.hset(:experiment_winner, name, winner_name.to_s)
@has_winner = true
Split.configuration.on_experiment_winner_choose.call(self)
end
def participant_count
alternatives.inject(0) { |sum, a| sum + a.participant_count }
end
def control
alternatives.first
end
def reset_winner
redis.hdel(:experiment_winner, name)
@has_winner = false
Split::Cache.clear_key(@name)
end
def start
redis.hset(:experiment_start_times, @name, Time.now.to_i)
end
def start_time
Split.cache(:experiment_start_times, @name) do
t = redis.hget(:experiment_start_times, @name)
if t
# Check if stored time is an integer
if t =~ /^[-+]?[0-9]+$/
Time.at(t.to_i)
else
Time.parse(t)
end
end
end
end
def next_alternative
winner || random_alternative
end
def random_alternative
if alternatives.length > 1
algorithm.choose_alternative(self)
else
alternatives.first
end
end
def version
@version ||= (redis.get("#{name}:version").to_i || 0)
end
def increment_version
@version = redis.incr("#{name}:version")
end
def key
if version.to_i > 0
"#{name}:#{version}"
else
name
end
end
def goals_key
"#{name}:goals"
end
def finished_key
self.class.finished_key(key)
end
def metadata_key
"#{name}:metadata"
end
def resettable?
resettable
end
def reset
Split.configuration.on_before_experiment_reset.call(self)
Split::Cache.clear_key(@name)
alternatives.each(&:reset)
reset_winner
Split.configuration.on_experiment_reset.call(self)
increment_version
end
def delete
Split.configuration.on_before_experiment_delete.call(self)
if Split.configuration.start_manually
redis.hdel(:experiment_start_times, @name)
end
reset_winner
redis.srem(:experiments, name)
remove_experiment_cohorting
remove_experiment_configuration
Split.configuration.on_experiment_delete.call(self)
increment_version
end
def delete_metadata
redis.del(metadata_key)
end
def load_from_redis
exp_config = redis.hgetall(experiment_config_key)
options = {
resettable: exp_config["resettable"],
algorithm: exp_config["algorithm"],
alternatives: load_alternatives_from_redis,
goals: Split::GoalsCollection.new(@name).load_from_redis,
metadata: load_metadata_from_redis
}
set_alternatives_and_options(options)
end
def can_calculate_winning_alternatives?
self.alternatives.all? do |alternative|
alternative.participant_count >= 0 &&
(alternative.participant_count >= alternative.completed_count)
end
end
def calc_winning_alternatives
return unless can_calculate_winning_alternatives?
# Cache the winning alternatives so we recalculate them once per the specified interval.
intervals_since_epoch =
Time.now.utc.to_i / Split.configuration.winning_alternative_recalculation_interval
if self.calc_time != intervals_since_epoch
if goals.empty?
self.estimate_winning_alternative
else
goals.each do |goal|
self.estimate_winning_alternative(goal)
end
end
self.calc_time = intervals_since_epoch
self.save
end
end
def estimate_winning_alternative(goal = nil)
# initialize a hash of beta distributions based on the alternatives' conversion rates
beta_params = calc_beta_params(goal)
winning_alternatives = []
Split.configuration.beta_probability_simulations.times do
# calculate simulated conversion rates from the beta distributions
simulated_cr_hash = calc_simulated_conversion_rates(beta_params)
winning_alternative = find_simulated_winner(simulated_cr_hash)
# push the winning pair to the winning_alternatives array
winning_alternatives.push(winning_alternative)
end
winning_counts = count_simulated_wins(winning_alternatives)
@alternative_probabilities = calc_alternative_probabilities(winning_counts, Split.configuration.beta_probability_simulations)
write_to_alternatives(goal)
self.save
end
def write_to_alternatives(goal = nil)
alternatives.each do |alternative|
alternative.set_p_winner(@alternative_probabilities[alternative], goal)
end
end
def calc_alternative_probabilities(winning_counts, number_of_simulations)
alternative_probabilities = {}
winning_counts.each do |alternative, wins|
alternative_probabilities[alternative] = wins / number_of_simulations.to_f
end
alternative_probabilities
end
def count_simulated_wins(winning_alternatives)
# initialize a hash to keep track of winning alternative in simulations
winning_counts = {}
alternatives.each do |alternative|
winning_counts[alternative] = 0
end
# count number of times each alternative won, calculate probabilities, place in hash
winning_alternatives.each do |alternative|
winning_counts[alternative] += 1
end
winning_counts
end
def find_simulated_winner(simulated_cr_hash)
# figure out which alternative had the highest simulated conversion rate
winning_pair = ["", 0.0]
simulated_cr_hash.each do |alternative, rate|
if rate > winning_pair[1]
winning_pair = [alternative, rate]
end
end
winner = winning_pair[0]
winner
end
def calc_simulated_conversion_rates(beta_params)
simulated_cr_hash = {}
# create a hash which has the conversion rate pulled from each alternative's beta distribution
beta_params.each do |alternative, params|
alpha = params[0]
beta = params[1]
simulated_conversion_rate = Split::Algorithms.beta_distribution_rng(alpha, beta)
simulated_cr_hash[alternative] = simulated_conversion_rate
end
simulated_cr_hash
end
def calc_beta_params(goal = nil)
beta_params = {}
alternatives.each do |alternative|
conversions = goal.nil? ? alternative.completed_count : alternative.completed_count(goal)
alpha = 1 + conversions
beta = 1 + alternative.participant_count - conversions
params = [alpha, beta]
beta_params[alternative] = params
end
beta_params
end
def calc_time=(time)
redis.hset(experiment_config_key, :calc_time, time)
end
def calc_time
redis.hget(experiment_config_key, :calc_time).to_i
end
def jstring(goal = nil)
js_id = if goal.nil?
name
else
name + "-" + goal
end
js_id.gsub("/", "--")
end
def cohorting_disabled?
@cohorting_disabled ||= begin
value = redis.hget(experiment_config_key, :cohorting)
value.nil? ? false : value.downcase == "true"
end
end
def disable_cohorting
@cohorting_disabled = true
redis.hset(experiment_config_key, :cohorting, true.to_s)
end
def enable_cohorting
@cohorting_disabled = false
redis.hset(experiment_config_key, :cohorting, false.to_s)
end
protected
def experiment_config_key
"experiment_configurations/#{@name}"
end
def load_metadata_from_configuration
Split.configuration.experiment_for(@name)[:metadata]
end
def load_metadata_from_redis
meta = redis.get(metadata_key)
JSON.parse(meta) unless meta.nil?
end
def load_alternatives_from_configuration
alts = Split.configuration.experiment_for(@name)[:alternatives]
raise ArgumentError, "Experiment configuration is missing :alternatives array" unless alts
if alts.is_a?(Hash)
alts.keys
else
alts.flatten
end
end
def load_alternatives_from_redis
alternatives = redis.lrange(@name, 0, -1)
alternatives.map do |alt|
alt = begin
JSON.parse(alt)
rescue
alt
end
Split::Alternative.new(alt, @name)
end
end
private
def redis
Split.redis
end
def redis_interface
RedisInterface.new
end
def persist_experiment_configuration
redis_interface.add_to_set(:experiments, name)
redis_interface.persist_list(name, @alternatives.map { |alt| { alt.name => alt.weight }.to_json })
goals_collection.save
if @metadata
redis.set(metadata_key, @metadata.to_json)
else
delete_metadata
end
end
def remove_experiment_configuration
@alternatives.each(&:delete)
goals_collection.delete
delete_metadata
redis.del(@name)
end
def experiment_configuration_has_changed?
existing_experiment = Experiment.find(@name)
existing_experiment.alternatives.map(&:to_s) != @alternatives.map(&:to_s) ||
existing_experiment.goals != @goals ||
existing_experiment.metadata != @metadata
end
def goals_collection
Split::GoalsCollection.new(@name, @goals)
end
def remove_experiment_cohorting
@cohorting_disabled = false
redis.hdel(experiment_config_key, :cohorting)
end
end
end