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Wildfire Analysis

Team

Hardik Mahipal Surana Pranshu Dave Tanvi Pisat

Installation

  1. Setup a virtual environment
virtualenv -p python3 venv
source venv/bin/activate
  1. Install project dependencies
pip3 install -r requirements.txt
  1. Run regression models
python src/regression_models.py data/combined.csv

Dataset Features

Column Name Description
FOD_ID global unique identifier
FIRE_NAME name of the incident
DISCOVERY_DATE date when the fire was discovered/confirmed to exist
CONT_DATE date when the fire was declared contained/controlled
STAT_CAUSE_DESCR Description of the (statistical) cause of the fire
FIRE_SIZE Estimate of acres within the final perimeter of the fire
FIRE_SIZE_CLASS Code for fire size based on the number of acres burned
LATITUDE in decimal degrees
LONGITUDE in decimal degrees
STATE Two-letter code where fire occured
distance distance of sensors from fire
date_time when the data was collected
air_temperature air temperature (1 day reading)
relative_humidity relative humidity (1 day reading)
wind_speed wind speed (1 day reading)
precipitation precipitation (1 day reading)

Other Features

Air Quality Air Quality Class/Category Air pressure

FFMC index DMC index DC index ISI index Buildup index

vegetation fuel

altitude/height above sea level

Potential Problems

  1. Heteroscedasticity - When dependent variable's variability is not equal across values of an independent variable
  2. Multicollinearity - When the independent variables are highly correlated to each other
  3. Underfitting - high bias
  4. Overfitting - high variance

Notes

  1. date columns in the database are in julian days
  2. FIRE_SIZE_CLASS - A=greater than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 acres, B=0.26-9.9 acres, C=10.0-99.9 acres, D=100-299 acres, E=300 to 999 acres, F=1000 to 4999 acres, G=5000+ acres

Sources

  1. Kaggle
  2. AirNow API
  3. Mesowest API