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Predicting Rookies

This is the repository for a predictive model of rookie season NFL performance. The project uses only data freely available online and can be used to predict how well upcoming rookies will perform in the context of fantasy football.

It can also be used as a starting point to creating a comprehensive NCAA to NFL transition analysis. Data used in model includes NCAA career statistics, NFL Combine measurables, NFL Draft pick, and NFL Fantasy and real Football statistics for the years 2005 and later as that is when NCAA data becomes available.


Read accompanying blog post at Varied

Interactive D3 visualization showing rookie season fantasy points against pre-NFL statistics here: bl.ocks


To use the files in this repo, you must download all of the NCAA stats zip files from http://www.cfbstats.com/blog/college-football-data/

You must also have Python 2.7, iPython Notebook, Pandas, BeautifulSoup, and Sci-Kit Learn installed. These dependencies should be installed using pip or easy_install.

Files have only been tested on Mac OS X.


If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me @anmolgarg314.